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$4.5 billion options bet on catastrophe within four weeks (5 posts)

1. Arabesque
   Member

   http://mparent7777-2.blogspot.com/2007/08/45b-bet-...

   $4.5 billion options bet on catastrophe within four weeks

   Anybody have a clue as to what these 'investors' are expecting?

   The two sales are being referred to by market traders as "bin Laden trades" because only an event on the scale of 9-11 could make these short-sell options valuable.

   There are 65,000 contracts @ $750.00 for the SPX 700 calls for open interest. That controls 6.5 million shares at $750 = $4.5 Billion. Not a single trade. But quite a bit of $$ on a contract that is 700 points away from current value. No one would buy that deep "in the money" calls. No reason to. So if they were sold looks like someone betting on massive dislocation. Lots of very strange option activity that I haven't seen before.

   The entity or individual offering these sales can only make money if the market drops 30%-50% within the next four weeks. If the market does not drop, the entity or individual involved stands to lose over $1 billion just for engaging in these contracts!

   Clearly, someone knows something big is going to happen BEFORE the options expire on Sept. 21.

   See also: http://www.prisonplanet.com/articles/august2007/27...

   Posted 17 years ago #
2. Arabesque
   Member

   US recession risk highest since 9/11: ex-Treasury secretary

   "I do not think we yet have ... a basis of making a prediction that there will be a recession, but I would say that the risks of recession are now greater than they've been any time since the period in the aftermath of 9/11."

   http://www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/afp_world_b...

   Posted 17 years ago #
3. Victronix
   Member

   something big is going to happen BEFORE the options expire on Sept. 21

   time for lots of camping trips to unpopulated areas next month . . .

   There was also a story about "chatter" on the West Coast being high, by Wayne Madsen, but -- gee -- it's only available to subscribers on his own site, so I guess we won't go there. He also once had a story about nukes at the WTC and others talk about him being wrong on a lot of his predictions, so now I wonder if he isn't just bogus and writing anything so that people who are fearful in general will pay for his newsletter.

   http://www.waynemadsenreport.com/articles/20070821... (payment necessary)

   http://onlinejournal.com/artman/publish/article_23... (no payment necessary, but onlinejournal often publishes completely bogus stuff)

   Posted 17 years ago #
4. Arabesque
   Member

   THE KENNEBUNKPORT WARNING http://911blogger.com/node/10905

   To the American people, and to peace loving individuals everywhere:

   Massive evidence has come to our attention which shows that the backers, controllers, and allies of Vice President Dick Cheney are determined to orchestrate and manufacture a new 9/11 terror incident, and/or a new Gulf of Tonkin war provocation over the coming weeks and months. Such events would be used by the Bush administration as a pretext for launching an aggressive war against Iran, quite possibly with nuclear weapons, and for imposing a regime of martial law here in the United States. We call on the House of Representatives to proceed immediately to the impeachment of Cheney, as an urgent measure for avoiding a wider and more catastrophic war. Once impeachment has begun, it will be easier for loyal and patriotic military officers to refuse illegal orders coming from the Cheney faction. We solemnly warn the people of the world that any terrorist attack with weapons of mass destruction taking place inside the United States or elsewhere in the immediate future must be considered the prima facie responsibility of the Cheney faction. We urge responsible political leaders everywhere to begin at once to inoculate the public opinion of their countries against such a threatened false flag terror operation.

   I've compiled some of this "massive evidence" here: http://digg.com/politics/The_Next_9_11_Predictions...

   Posted 17 years ago #
5. Victronix
   Member

   That first story now has over 70 comments and an early signed comment condemns it as being a purposeful lure to swindle money out of peolpe. These things are complex and diffifult to really fully understand. It would be great if someone who had the time and expertise could look further into it.

   Posted 17 years ago #

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